Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Onside Kicks Worth the Risk?

My controversial call comes from the judgment of the Kansas City head coach Todd Haley and his decision to do an onside kick on the opening kickoff in their game against the Indianapolis Colts. The last team to do an onside kick against the Colts on the opening kickoff was the Philadelphia Eagles in 2000 in which the Eagles were successful. I looked up some stats online on what the probability of winning an onside kick when the receiving team was expecting the kick is about 26% of the time it will be recovered by the kicking team. In Todd Haley’s scenario, when the receiving team is not expecting the onside kick typically teams have been more successful in recovering the kick, about 60%. I see what Todd Haley is thinking in this situation he wants to set the tone of the game in the Chiefs favor, trying to demoralize the Colts as well as the Indy fans. Going back to the Superbowl last year when New Orleans Saints kicked an onside kick to open the second half of the game when they were down 4 points and landed up outscoring the colts in the second half 25-7 winning the Superbowl, possibly Todd Haley thought he was onto something. However the decision didn’t fall in favor for the chiefs and gave the ball to the Colts as well as great field position. The following drive after the onside kick ended up in a field goal by the Colts. Also something to think about is teams are 28-15 all-time in the Superbowl when they have score first, I believe there is something to scoring first and maybe Todd Haley does to.

Did you like the decision by Todd Haley to do an onside kick to begin the game?
Do you think that call had any effect on the game?
If Chiefs had recovered the onside would the game of had a different outcome?

Tell us what you think. We would like to hear your insight
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2 comments:

  1. I think onside kicks are last resort plays. They were meant to be desperate plays to get the ball back late in the game to try to make a miracle comeback. I do not like the call at the beginning of the game because it shows that the coach is either worried that they are over-matched or he doesn't have faith in his defense.

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  2. I like the idea of trying to sneak an onside kick on the opening kickoff. If you get it, it could be a great way to get up first on your opponent and set the tempo. We didn't get it, but it didn't hurt our chances in the game. Our defense still played well and we had a chance to win the game. I don't think the decision really hurt us that much,and the possibility of it working out-weighed the negatives.

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